The Annual NFC Over/Unders With Bill Simmons, Cousin Sal, and Joe House
August 28, 2026
AI Summary
5 min readThe Bill Simmons Podcast has been doing its annual NFC win-total over/under show for 20 years, and this year the crew—Simmons, Cousin Sal, and Joe House—tackled all four divisions in one marathon session. The conversation revealed a league in transition: too much information has made the lines sharper than ever, the NFC is loaded with contenders, and every division has at least one team the hosts genuinely despise picking.
The NFC East: Dallas vs. Philadelphia, and Two Teams They Hate
The East produced the sharpest disagreement. Simmons took the Eagles over 10.5 wins, arguing their roster is one of the five most stacked in football—top-three offensive line, six defensive players who "got points" in his talent rankings, and a schedule that avoids most elite quarterbacks. He sees 11-6. Sal went under, pointing to Philadelphia's 8-4 record in one-score games, a new offensive coordinator, and a belief that the rest of the division (Washington, Giants) will be so bad that Dallas and Philly can both go 4-0 in division play, making 10 wins harder than it looks. He has them at 9-8.
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What you'll learn
- 1 (02:03) **Podcast Intro & 20th Season Kickoff** - Bill, Cousin Sal, and Joe House celebrate their 20th season doing NFL podcasts together, with House joining as a special guest.
- 2 (06:58) **NFC East: Philadelphia Eagles (O/U 10.5)** - Bill and Sal disagree on whether the Eagles will hit their win total.
- 3 (14:47) **NFC East: Dallas Cowboys (O/U 9.5)** - A major point of disagreement, with Bill firing his first "lock" of the episode on the Cowboys.
- 4 (21:58) **NFC East: Washington Commanders (O/U 7.5)** - The hosts split on the Commanders, with Sal making a strong case for the under.
- 5 (28:03) **NFC East: New York Giants (O/U 7.5)** - The hosts are in agreement that the Giants are in for a long year.
- 6 (35:38) **NFC East Division Wrap-Up** - The hosts give their final takes on the division's pecking order.
- 7 (38:00) **NFC North: Detroit Lions (O/U 10.5)** - The hosts debate the Lions' potential, focusing on their injury luck and schedule.
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Guests on this episode
Show Notes
The Ringer’s Bill Simmons is joined by Cousin Sal and Joe House LIVE on Netflix for Part 1 of their annual NFL over/unders pod. First up: the NFC!
(0:00) Intro
(1:30) NFC East
(37:08) NFC North
(01:06:31) NFC South
(01:33:57) NFC West
Host: Bill Simmons
Guests: Cousin Sal and Joe House
Producers: Chia Hao Tat, Eduardo Ocampo, and Jonathan Frias
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