AI Profits Surge, $70B Capex Surge Raises Investor Concerns, Automated Skin Exams | Diet TBPN
May 1, 2026
AI Summary
5 min readThe episode recaps Q1 earnings from Google, Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta—described as a rare "quad kill" alignment—emphasizing strong cloud revenue growth that justifies massive AI capex increases, alongside scattered AI news like job market debates and emerging tools.
Earnings Breakdown: Google and Microsoft
Google delivered standout results, with stock up 10%. Core search and other revenue hit $60.4 billion, up 19% year over year, disproving fears that AI chatbots would erode it. Google Cloud revenue reached $20 billion, up 63%, with operating income at $6.6 billion and backlog nearly doubling to over $460 billion—more than half recognizable in the next 24 months. This positions Google as a full-stack AI play, blending search durability and infrastructure demand.
Microsoft showed solid execution on enterprise AI, though stock dipped 2%. Revenue was $82.9 billion, up 18%, beating estimates. Azure grew 40%, but Copilot added just 5 million seats to reach 20 million out of 450 million Microsoft 365 paid seats—progress, but slow relative to the base. No major teases for next-gen Gemini models. The OpenAI partnership evolved: Azure lost exclusivity (OpenAI models now on AWS), hurting sales pitches to AWS-locked customers but benefiting Microsoft's equity stake via OpenAI growth. A clean renegotiation removed the AGI clause, extending ties to 2032 focused on IP sharing.
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What you'll learn
- 1 (00:01) **Intro and Housekeeping** - Quick promo for Stripe Sessions interviews and tease of Kosian singularity debate
- 2 (00:40) **Tech Earnings Quad Kill Recap** - Four big tech firms report strong results on same day, likened to rare alignment
- 3 (01:15) **Google Crushes Earnings** - Stock up 10%; search revenue up 19% YoY at $60.4B, defying "search is dead" thesis
- 4 (03:20) **Microsoft Solid Execution** - Revenue $82.9B up 18% YoY; Azure growth and Copilot adoption in focus, stock down 2%
- 5 (07:41) **Amazon AWS Re-accelerates** - Q1 revenue $181.5B up 17% YoY; AWS beats at 28% growth vs. expected 25%
- 6 (08:54) **Meta Strong Core but Stock Drops** - Revenue $56.3B up 33% YoY; ads up with 19% impressions/12% price growth, but capex raised to $125-145B
- 7 (14:34) **Earnings Season Takeaways** - AI narrative fractures by company strategy; market demands capex justification via short-term revenue
+ Full timestamped outline available in the app
Show Notes
Diet TBPN delivers the best of today’s TBPN episode in 30 minutes. TBPN is a live tech talk show hosted by John Coogan and Jordi Hays, streaming weekdays 11–2 PT on X and YouTube, with each episode posted to podcast platforms right after.
Described by The New York Times as “Silicon Valley’s newest obsession,” the show has recently featured Mark Zuckerberg, Sam Altman, Mark Cuban, and Satya Nadella.
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