Stephanie Pomboy: Market Confusion -- Are Things Getting Better...Or Worse??
February 12, 2026
AI Summary
5 min read🎙️ The Voices & The Context
- The Format: Casual live stream interview between host and expert guest, blending macro analysis, event promotion, and real-time market reactions.
- The Key Players:
- Guest: Stephanie Pomboy, macro economist and founder of Macromavens, known for her sharp insights on credit spreads, consumer distress, and precious metals; she's hosting an upcoming conference with stars like Tom Hoenig and Grant Williams.
- Host: Adam Taggart, Thoughtful Money founder, providing context from his San Francisco trip and Van Eck event.
- The Vibe: Educational and cautiously optimistic—analytical deep dives into confusing data, with humor on market volatility and excitement for her St. Petersburg conference.
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What you'll learn
- 1 (00:00) **🎙️ Introduction: Stephanie Pomboy**
- 2 (06:21) **Jobs Report Analysis**
- 3 (13:12) **Retail Sales & Consumer Stress**
- 4 (16:21) **Job Growth Drivers & AI Impact**
- 5 (20:37) **Rising Loan Delinquencies**
- 6 (24:26) **Election-Year Policy: Run It Hot**
- 7 (27:14) **Inflation & Commodity Rebound**
+ Full timestamped outline available in the app
Show Notes
REGISTER FOR THOUGHTFUL MONEY'S SPRING ONLINE CONFERENCE AT THE EARLY BIRD DISCOUNT PRICE at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com/conferenceOn the surface, today’s payrolls report was a blockbuster upside surprise.And the unemployment rate fell (from 4.4% to 4.3%).But when looking at other recent data, like weakening retail spending and a surge in both credit card balances & consumer debt delinquencies, things look less rosy.So which is it: Is the economy getting better or worse?Macro analyst Stephanie Pomboy returned for a livestream this morning to discuss this key question with me. We also discussed her thoughts on the selection of Kevin Warsh as the new Chair of the Federal Reserve, as well as her reaction to the sharp pullback and subsequent recovery in the gold price.Follow Stephanie at https://macromavens.com/Or on X at @spomboy#federalreserve #goldprice #jobsreport_____________________________________________Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
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