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Eli Lilly Sounds Alarm on Copycat GLP-1s, Trouble Brewing in Private Credit

March 12, 2026

AI Summary

5 min read

Eli Lilly Sounds Alarm on Copycat GLP-1s, Trouble Brewing in Private Credit

Oil prices kept climbing Wednesday, with US crude trading above $90 a barrel and international crude briefly touching $100. The cause: Iran has ramped up attacks on vessels in the Persian Gulf, effectively closing traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. The International Energy Agency just announced the largest emergency oil release in history — 400 million barrels from strategic reserves across 32 member countries, more than double the amount released during the Ukraine war in 2022. But the markets barely reacted. The reason is arithmetic: the Strait of Hormuz closure removes about 20 million barrels per day from global supply, while the strategic reserve release adds only about 5 million barrels per day. That supply gap is why oil keeps climbing. The host noted he's "repeating myself every day at this point," but the situation is straightforward — as long as the Middle East remains unstable and tankers can't pass through Hormuz, markets will stay on edge. He added that he's surprised gold hasn't rallied much since the war started, attributing the flatness to a rallying US dollar and the market pricing in fewer rate cuts.

Eli Lilly's Warning on Copycat GLP-1s

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What you'll learn

  • 1 (00:00) **Show Open & Market Overview** - Host Zayd Dohman introduces the episode's topics: oil prices, Eli Lilly's warning on copycat GLP-1s, private credit concerns, and Ben Affleck's AI startup sale.
  • 2 (01:03) **Oil Prices Surge on Strait of Hormuz Disruption** - US crude above $90/barrel; international crude briefly touched $100.
  • 3 (02:19) **Market Outlook Tied to Oil** - As long as the Middle East situation remains unstable, markets will stay on edge and volatile.
  • 4 (02:47) **Eli Lilly Warns on Copycat GLP-1 Drugs** - The company issued an open letter warning about health risks from compounded versions of Zepbound.
  • 5 (04:28) **Private Credit Funds Capping Withdrawals** - An update on trouble brewing in the private credit space.
  • 6 (06:16) **Bumble Surges on AI Matchmaker Announcement** - Shares up over 20% after the company beat earnings and announced an AI-powered dating assistant called "dates."
  • 7 (07:19) **Dollar General Falls on Weak Guidance** - Shares down ~6% after the retailer issued a weaker-than-expected outlook.

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Show Notes

Market update for Thursday March 12, 2026

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In today’s episode:

  • Oil back at $100 / barrel

  • Eli Lilly releases health warning regarding “copycat” weightloss drugs

  • Cracks emerge in private credit market as major funds limit withdrawals.

  • Bumble stock jumps after unveiling a new AI matchmaking assistant.

  • Dollar General falls on cautious outlook for 2026.

  • Fun fact: Ben Affleck sells his AI company to Netflix for $600M

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