AI Summary
5 min readThe Beginning of the End for Trump?
On Tuesday night, Republican primary voters in Wyoming and Florida rejected two more Trump-endorsed candidates, bringing the total number of Trump-backed contenders who have lost in 2026 to ten. As Ben Mascellaro, co-founder of Midas Touch Network, put it bluntly: "He's got more losses in 2026 than all of the other election years combined."
What the Data Actually Shows
The pattern goes beyond primary losses. In Pennsylvania's House District 12, a Democrat overperformed by 19 points in a special election—in a district Trump won by 18 points. Mascellaro sees this as a leading indicator: "For the past 12 months, we're seeing Democratic candidates overperform plus 12 to plus 18" in special elections nationwide. Combine that with the Florida primary results where the MAGA base simply didn't turn out for Trump's picks, and the math points toward "a type of wave coming in this midterm that we really haven't seen before."
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What you'll learn
- 1 (00:01) **Trump’s Worst Political Night & The Thesis** - Anthony Scaramucci opens with a bold claim: Trump’s 2026 primary losses already exceed all previous years combined, signaling a potential collapse.
- 2 (04:30) **Ben Massellus Joins: The “Algae Always Comes Back” Metaphor** - Guest Ben Massellus, co-founder of Midas Touch, introduces his book *WTF America* and frames Trump’s failures as inevitable.
- 3 (07:51) **The 33% Base: Why They Still Support Trump** - Scaramucci and Massellus dissect the hardcore Trump supporters, acknowledging economic anxiety and cultural anger as drivers.
- 4 (08:05) **2026 Primary Losses: A “Beginning of the End”** - The hosts analyze Trump’s record-breaking string of endorsed candidates losing in Wyoming and Florida, marking a historic rejection.
- 5 (10:46) **Special Election Data: Democratic Overperformance Nationwide** - Evidence from Pennsylvania’s House District 12 special election shows a 19-point swing toward Democrats in a Trump+18 district.
- 6 (13:23) **Historical Precedent: Trump’s Approval at Nixon Resignation Levels** - Scaramucci compares Trump’s current polling to the lowest points in modern presidential history.
- 7 (15:00) **Alex Vindman’s Loss: Anti-Trump Isn’t Enough** - The hosts discuss whistleblower Alex Vindman’s 12-point loss in his primary, arguing that being anti-Trump alone has no electoral purchasing power.
+ Full timestamped outline available in the app
Show Notes
Why do Trump-backed primary candidates keep losing? Can Darline Graham keep her late brother’s Senate seat in South Carolina? And, is Pete Hegseth’s wife really in charge of the Department of War?
Anthony Scaramucci is joined by co-founder of MeidasTouch, Ben Meiselas, as they answer all these questions and more.
This episode is sponsored by eToro. As with all investing, your capital is at risk. Visit http://www.etoro.com/A131776_TClick.aspx
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