What Actually Predicts Divorce, and What Women Really Want in a Partner — ft. James Sexton
September 9, 2026
AI Summary
5 min readDivorce attorney James Sexton told Scott Galloway that the most reliable predictor of divorce isn't infidelity or a single blow-up fight. It is something far quieter: a slow, almost imperceptible disconnection. “People get divorced and the relationships fall apart the same way that I think Thomas Wolfe said people go bankrupt,” Sexton explained. “Very slowly and then all at once.” Over 25 years in the trenches, Sexton has watched marriages fail from the inside, and he argues that the lessons for keeping a relationship together come not from aspirational advice but from understanding how things actually break.
The Granola and the Blow Job: How Small Acts of Atrophy Predict Divorce
Sexton illustrated the mechanism of disconnection with a story about a client. She was a put-together woman in her 30s, divorcing a successful finance guy. Outside the courthouse, Sexton asked when she knew the marriage was over. She told him about a specific granola she used to put in her yogurt every morning, sold only at one Whole Foods. Her husband used to buy it for her without being asked, without seeking credit. “He would just do it,” Sexton recalled. “And she said it made her always feel so loved.” Then one day, the granola ran out, and he never replaced it. Sexton asked if there was anything similar on her end. Without missing a beat, she said, “Yeah, blow jobs.” She used to give them spo
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What you'll learn
- 1 (03:08) **The Most Important Predictor of Divorce** - James identifies disconnection, not a single explosive event, as the primary precursor to divorce.
- 2 (07:49) **The Uncomfortable Economic Predictor** - The conversation shifts to the strong statistical link between a man's economic decline and divorce.
- 3 (13:53) **Preserving Fairness and Desire Over Decades** - The hosts tackle the challenge of maintaining both equity and sexual attraction in long-term relationships.
- 4 (18:49) **The Archetype of Attraction** - James and Scott dissect the seemingly contradictory desires in heterosexual dating.
- 5 (26:37) **Biggest Lessons from Complicated Relationships** - James shares his key insights from managing high-conflict divorces and navigating difficult interpersonal dynamics.
- 6 (31:27) **The Red Flag of Substance Abuse and Self-Assessment** - The discussion focuses on specific, practical advice for evaluating a partner's baggage.
- 7 Standout Quotes
+ Full timestamped outline available in the app
Guests on this episode
Show Notes
In part one of a two-part Office Hours special on relationships, Scott Galloway is joined by divorce attorney James Sexton to break down the subtle signals that predict divorce, why fairness and desire pull in opposite directions, and the red flags people talk themselves out of.
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