The John Johnston Lounge
The John Johnston Lounge

Tesla Profits Plunge & SpaceX Stock Continues Fall

July 23, 2026

AI Summary

5 min read

Tesla posted record revenue in the second quarter of 2026, but profits plunged as the company discounted heavily to move vehicles, and a key source of income from selling regulatory credits dried up. On the earnings call, Elon Musk was unusually subdued, apologizing for being sick and avoiding the big promises about robotaxis and humanoid robots that investors have come to expect. Meanwhile, SpaceX shares continued their slide, falling 6.7% on the day to $115—nearly half their all-time high of $225.64. It was not a good day for Musk on either front.

The Numbers Behind the Miss

Tesla’s headline revenue looked fine, but the underlying profitability told a different story. The company’s operating margin fell to just 1.4%, and income from operations dropped 57%. Adjusted net income—which strips out stock-based compensation and changes in the value of its cryptocurrency holdings—came in at $1.2 billion, well below the Wall Street consensus of $1.95 billion. Free cash flow turned negative as capital expenditures more than doubled, driven by the company’s pivot to semiconductors, autonomous taxis, and humanoid robots.

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What you'll learn

  • 1 (00:00) **Tesla Profits Plunge on Discounts & Regulatory Credit Loss** - Tesla's Q2 earnings miss as discounts boost EV sales but crush margins, and regulatory credit revenue dries up.
  • 2 (00:16) **SpaceX Stock Continues Its Slide** - SpaceX shares fall another 6.7% to $115, now nearly half the record high of $225.64.
  • 3 (00:58) **Tesla Stock Falls After Hours** - Stock drops 4.13% in after-hours trading to $374 after earnings release and call.
  • 4 (02:01) **Elon Musk Subdued on Earnings Call** - Musk dodges a question about merging Tesla and SpaceX, apologizes for being sick, and lacks his usual confidence.
  • 5 (03:07) **Detailed Financial Breakdown** - Total automotive revenues up, but gross profit only up 23% and operating expenses rising sharply.
  • 6 (04:20) **EV Sales Boosted by Oil Crisis, but Not Enough** - Iran war-driven fuel price spike drove EV demand in Europe, but U.S. sales remained depressed due to lost incentives.
  • 7 (07:17) **Analyst Reactions & Key Tweets** - Fred Lambert (Electrek) notes Tesla's Q2 profit was largely a paper gain from SpaceX stake that has since evaporated.

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Show Notes

John Johnston (JJ) breaks down Tesla Earnings for Q2 2026, in which Tesla profits plunged as discounts on its EV models weighed on the earnings results. Tesla stock sank during the earnings call with Elon. SpaceX stock also sank significantly on the day, now down almost 50% from its peak. Tesla’s capital expenditures doubled as Tesla continues to struggle to pivot to the hot semiconductor sector, autonomous robotaxis, and Optimus humanoid robots. 


Related episodes:


SpaceX Stock is Crashing & Tesla Investors Want Answers  https://open.spotify.com/episode/2Jey6dAGdZeZNXvAk6DGj7


SpaceX Stock Crashes Nearly 50% | AI Bubble Bursting? https://open.spotify.com/episode/0t5v6pEahXpXicuD6abAxS


SpaceX Stock Crashes $1T & AI Trade Reverses! https://open.spotify.com/episode/7jC4ipCe0PADreDavJVua8




Disclaimer: I am not a financial adviser and nothing in this content is financial advice. This content is for general education and entertainment purposes only. Do your own analysis and seek professional financial advice before making any investment decision.

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