The Indicator from Planet Money
The Indicator from Planet Money

Why you overpaid at that online auction

November 17, 2025

AI Summary

5 min read

🎙️ The Speakers & Context

This episode features a discussion format between hosts Darian Woods and Greg Roselski from NPR’s "The Indicator," focusing on behavioral economics and its implications in today's business landscape. The tone is reflective and analytical, as they explore complex concepts surrounding bidding strategies and their consequences in various markets.

The Key Players:

  • Darian Woods: Co-host with a focus on economic trends and their real-world implications.
  • Greg Roselski: Co-host with expertise in financial analysis and market behaviors.

🎣 The Executive Hook

The "One Big Idea": The concept of the winner's curse—the phenomenon where the winner of an auction tends to overestimate the value of what they are winning—has significant implications for tech companies in the AI race, where bidding wars for talent and resources may lead to unsustainable investments.

Why It Matters: As companies rush to secure AI capabilities, understanding the winner's curse can help executives make informed decisions about capital allocation, potentially avoiding pitfalls that lead to diminished returns.

Continue reading the full summary in the app — free to try.

Read Full Summary →

Free • No credit card required

What you'll learn

  • 1 `(00:00)` **🎙️ Introduction: Richard Thaler**
  • 2 `(00:35)` **Behavioral Economics Experiment**
  • 3 `(01:58)` **The Winner's Curse**
  • 4 `(04:22)` **Origins of the Winner's Curse**
  • 5 `(05:48)` **Implications for Business**
  • 6 `(06:49)` **Corporate Mergers and the Winner's Curse**
  • 7 `(07:34)` **Philosophical Implications**

+ Full timestamped outline available in the app

Show Notes

Ever put in the winning bid for something on an auction site only to realize you significantly overpaid? Yeah, there’s a phrase for that. On today’s show: the winner’s curse.

Richard Thaler’s new book with Alex O. Imas is The Winner’s Curse: Behavioral Economics Anomalies, Then and Now.

Read Planet Money’s newsletter on the winner’s curse. 

For sponsor-free episodes of The Indicator from Planet Money, subscribe to Planet Money+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org. Fact-checking by Sierra Juarez. Music by Drop Electric. Find us: TikTok, Instagram, Facebook, Newsletter.  

To manage podcast ad preferences, review the links below:

See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for sponsorship and to manage your podcast sponsorship preferences.

Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoices

NPR Privacy Policy

The Indicator from Planet Money