AI Summary
5 min read"12 to 15 All-Star selections, 4 to 6 Defensive Player of the Year awards, 2 to 3 MVPs, 2 to 4 titles, over 30,000 points, 12,000 boards, 4,000 blocks, top 5 all time." That was the "modest" career projection for Victor Wembanyama generated by an AI model on the Locked On Spurs podcast, and it kicked off a wide-ranging conversation on Locked On NBA Daily about what the 7'4" phenom's future actually looks like, which contenders have the most exploitable weaknesses, and which current stars will be remembered fondly—or forgotten entirely—a decade from now.
Wembanyama's Ceiling: Hardware vs. Rings
The panel largely accepted the AI's individual accolades as plausible. Matt Moore argued that between ages 26 and 31, Wembanyama will be "the best player in the world without question," predicting three to four MVPs and a Defensive Player of the Year award every season in that window. The caveat, he stressed, is luck—both good and bad. "As long as Wemby avoids bad luck," Moore said, "26 through 31 looks at three to four titles in a six-year span." West Goldberg pushed back on the certainty, noting that Nikola Jokić has been the best player in the world for years and has only one ring. "So much has to go right to win the championship," he said.
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What you'll learn
- 1 Predicting Victor Wembanyama’s ENTIRE NBA Career
- 2 Timestamped Outline
- 3 (01:00) **AI Predicts Wembanyama's Career** - The hosts introduce a ChatGPT experiment from Locked On Spurs that projected Wembanyama's entire career trajectory
- 4 (04:07) **The Prime Window: Ages 26-31** - Matt Moore argues Wembanyama will be unquestionably the best player in the world between ages 26 and 31
- 5 (06:34) **More MVPs or More Titles?** - The hosts debate which category Wembanyama will accumulate more of
- 6 (08:57) **The Minutes Question** - A key factor in Wembanyama's MVP candidacy: his playing time
- 7 (09:58) **First MVP Prediction** - Each host gives a specific year for Wembanyama's first MVP
+ Full timestamped outline available in the app
Guests on this episode
Show Notes
Victor Wembanyama is already one of the NBA’s best players — but just how great will his career become? Wes Goldberg, Matt Moore and Haize project Wemby’s future, including how many MVPs, Defensive Player of the Year awards and championships would represent a realistic career. And when will he win his first MVP?
Then, championship teams increasingly have nowhere for opponents to hide. So which current NBA contender has the weakest link in its rotation — and could that one flaw ultimately cost them a title?
Finally, it’s Peak Offseason Content: Which current NBA stars will we view completely differently 10 or 20 years from now? The guys debate whose game will age beautifully as basketball evolves — and whose reputation might age much worse.
00:00 How Many MVPs Will Wemby Win?
12:22 Which Contender Has the Weakest Link?
23:00 Who's Career Will Age the Worst?
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