Almost Midnight, Micron Preview, Alan Greenspan RIP, Hello Jane Street, the Case for Meta
June 23, 2026
AI Summary
5 min readThe Clock is Ticking on AI Hype, But It's Not Midnight Yet
The Korean stock market—the KOSPI—fell 10% in a single day, and a 3X leveraged ETF tracking SK Hynix collapsed 42% in one session. The trigger? South Korea's market watchdog admitted it had been "too hasty" approving leveraged funds tied to chip stocks. But the real story is what this reveals about the global AI trade: semiconductor stocks are 68% above their 200-day moving average, the most stretched in 25 years, and the party has gotten sloppy.
The Korea Signal and Micron's Moment
The KOSPI's plunge wasn't random. South Korea's stock market is dominated by Samsung and SK Hynix, which have become pure plays on the AI data center buildout. The concentration makes US markets look diversified by comparison. When the head of South Korea's market regulator warned retail investors about record-high margin debt, the leveraged structures that had been amplifying the rally began unwinding violently. The 3X leveraged SK Hynix product launched just eight days earlier lost 42% in a day.
Continue reading the full summary in the app — free to try.
Read Full Summary →Free • No credit card required
Never miss an episode of The Compound and Friends
Get every new episode summarized in your inbox — free, ~5 minutes to read.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
What you'll learn
- 1 (00:12) **Show Open & Housekeeping** - Hosts welcome the audience, acknowledge the live chat, and banter about previous show topics.
- 2 (04:03) **Korean Market Meltdown & Chip Mania** - Discussion of the KOSPI crashing 10% and the role of semiconductor stocks (Samsung, SK Hynix) in driving extreme market concentration and margin debt.
- 3 (10:41) **Micron Earnings Preview & Tech Dispersion** - Analysis of Micron's extreme price action (up 4x in three months after a post-earnings crash) and its upcoming report.
- 4 (14:00) **Market Breadth: The Binary Trade** - A look at the stark market split where AI/semiconductor stocks are crushed, but software, financials, and staples are green.
- 5 (16:44) **The "Almost Midnight" Earnings Clock** - Analysis of Jurrien Timmer's (Fidelity) earnings clock model, suggesting the market is in the "sweet spot" (9pm-midnight) but nearing a transition to tighter financial conditions.
- 6 (23:25) **Prediction Markets & The Cosmic Joke** - News that Charles Schwab is entering prediction markets with "all-or-nothing" options contracts.
- 7 (29:00) **Alphabet Joins the Dow** - Alphabet replaces Verizon in the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
+ Full timestamped outline available in the app
Show Notes
Join Downtown Josh Brown and Michael Batnick for another episode of What Are Your Thoughts and see what they have to say about: Micron earnings, the sudden selloff in South Korea's red-hot stock market, whether we're entering the late stages of the bull market, prediction markets coming to Wall Street, Jane Street's AI ambitions, the Magnificent Seven breakdown, Alan Greenspan's legacy, and the growing bull case for Meta.
This episode is sponsored by Neuberger and ClearBridge Investments.
- Explore NBSD–including all risks and important information–at https://www.neuberger.com/nbsd
- Rising geopolitical tensions, continued market uncertainty, stocks backed by can offer more predictable cash flows as volatility increases. Visit https://www.clearbridge.com/ to learn more.
Sign up for The Compound Newsletter and never miss out!
Instagram: https://instagram.com/thecompoundnews
Twitter: https://twitter.com/thecompoundnews
TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@thecompoundnews
Investing involves the risk of loss. This podcast is for informational purposes only and should not be or regarded as personalized investment advice or relied upon for investment decisions. Michael Batnick and Josh Brown are employees of Ritholtz Wealth Management and may maintain positions in the securities discussed in this video. All opinions expressed by them are solely their own opinion and do not reflect the opinion of Ritholtz Wealth Management.
The Compound Media, Incorporated, an affiliate of Ritholtz Wealth Management, receives payment from various entities for advertisements in affiliated podcasts, blogs and emails. Inclusion of such advertisements does not constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship or recommendation thereof, or any affiliation therewith, by the Content Creator or by Rit
More from this podcast
The Compound and Friends →