AI Summary
5 min readStuart Stevens, a former Republican media strategist who worked on five presidential campaigns and co-founded the Lincoln Project, returned to The Bulwark Daily to offer a grim diagnosis of his former party. He argued that the GOP is not merely losing elections but has been morally and structurally compromised by Trumpism, Russian influence, and a collapse of institutional integrity. The conversation ranged from specific Senate races to the war in Ukraine, with Stevens pushing Democrats to adopt a far more aggressive, simple, and patriotic message than they have been willing to use.
The Corruption of the Old Guard
Stevens was blunt about figures like Senator Susan Collins, whom he described as a politician who "has a great future behind her." He pointed to a detailed report showing Collins helped steer federal contracts to a defense firm whose CEO then illegally funneled money to her campaign through a fake nonprofit called the Society of Young Women Scientists and Engineers. When the scheme was uncovered, Cleta Mitchell—a lawyer involved in Trump’s effort to overturn the 2020 election—allegedly helped fabricate a cover story. Stevens called Mitchell "a force of anti-democracy evil" who now travels the country teaching local election officials how to "curate the vote." He argued that an aggressive attorney general could seek a restraining order against her for teaching
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What you'll learn
- 1 (01:36) **Introduction & Old Miss Football** - Tim Miller welcomes back Stuart Stevens, a former Republican strategist, and they bond over the recent LSU-Ole Miss football game.
- 2 (04:17) **Diagnostic: The Susan Collins Corruption Case** - The hosts analyze a detailed report on Senator Susan Collins’s ties to a corrupt defense contractor and the role of Cleta Mitchell.
- 3 (10:52) **Warning Sign: Heating Oil and the Maine Senate Race** - Stevens identifies the price of heating oil as an underappreciated factor that will doom Susan Collins’s reelection.
- 4 (15:41) **The Ad Man’s Diagnosis: The GOP Money Advantage** - Miller posits that the massive GOP spending advantage on red turf is the Democrats' main worry, but Stevens pushes back on the power of TV ads.
- 5 (19:55) **The "Trump Derangement" Polling Filter** - Stevens proposes a radical polling screen to get a true read on the electorate.
- 6 (25:57) **Diagnostic: Ashley Hinson’s Desperation in Iowa** - The hosts diagnose the state of the Iowa race by analyzing the behavior of the Republican incumbent, Ashley Hinson.
- 7 (28:54) **Where to Look for the Truth in Politics** - Stevens explains the two things you can’t lie about in politics: where you spend money and where you spend time.
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Show Notes
The party has been busy playing defense in Trump states, and now comes the news that Susan Collins is corrupt on top of being a loyal MAGA supplicant. More Democrats should walk with Ossoff's swagger and keep their message simple: attack Trump on his corruption and the war. (And in colder climes, the price of heating oil.) Meanwhile, subpoenas over Trump Jr.'s Russian mobster-funded wedding are coming, and even some Republicans are likely to get on board. Plus: Ukraine is showing how to fight wars now and how the U.S. under Trump and Hegseth is not ready. And Tim keeps his promise and puts on a hair shirt after LSU's loss to Ole Miss.
Stuart Stevens joins Tim Miller.
show notes:
- ProPublica’s reporting on Susan Collins
- Lauren on how Dems are dealing with the Republicans’ huge war chest
- Tim’s interview with Wright Thompson last week
- Stuart’s books, including “The Conspiracy to End America” and “The Last Season”
- Stuart on performance-enhancing drugs
- The Bulwark’s campaign to help the Haitian community of Springfield
- The Bulwark store
- Head to https://forkfulmeals.com/thebulwark for 50% off your first order today!
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