The Bulwark Daily
The Bulwark Daily

Bill Kristol: Throw the Bums Out

October 5, 2026

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5 min read

Bill Kristol: Throw the Bums Out

The New York Times/Siena polls released over the weekend show Donald Trump's favorability cratering in states he won by double digits in 2024 — Alaska (minus 15), Iowa (minus 18), Kansas (minus 15), Ohio (minus 21), and Texas (minus 18) — and Democratic Senate candidates leading or tied in four of those five states. As Bill Kristol put it, "That gives you a sense of why it's a wave."

The Springfield Contrast

Andrew Egger's reporting from Ohio over the weekend captured the jarring juxtaposition: a funeral for Pierre Damas Bell, the Haitian child killed in Springfield, followed hours later by a Trump rally in a Dayton suburb where none of the other Republican speakers — Vivek Ramaswamy, John Husted, or others — mentioned Springfield at all. Trump, however, leaned in, leading "Deport" chants and reciting the "snake" poem about immigrants. Kristol noted that the rally's grotesqueness was "brought home" by Egger's reporting, and that Trump's approach — blaming a scapegoat rather than offering solutions — is classic demagoguery. The episode also highlighted that mass layoffs at a Springfield plant occurred during Trump's economic stewardship, undercutting his "golden age" rhetoric.

The Meme Coin Bribery

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What you'll learn

  • 1 Bill Kristol: Throw the Bums Out
  • 2 (00:42) **Episode Open & Housekeeping** - Tim Miller opens with scheduling notes and a tribute to listener Deb Weiss
  • 3 (03:41) **Trump's Springfield Rally After Funeral** - The contrast between a Haitian victim's funeral and Trump's nearby rally
  • 4 (07:25) **Trump Meme Coin Bribery Scheme** - The crypto firm running Trump's meme coin plans a dinner for top holders
  • 5 (11:28) **New York Times/Siena Polling Wave** - New polls show Trump underwater in states he won by double digits
  • 6 (16:19) **Why Senate Candidates Outperform Harris** - The structural advantages of 2026 Democratic Senate candidates
  • 7 (19:38) **Ken Paxton's Money Sink** - The staggering cost of the Texas Senate race

+ Full timestamped outline available in the app

Guests on this episode

Show Notes

Like all good demagogues, Trump's appeal works when he's got someone to blame. But it's on his watch that we've got a war-related global food crisis brewing and mass layoffs in Ohio—where Trump just happened to hold a rally over the weekend. So, POTUS is focused on getting his family more money through a new bribery scheme while Republicans struggle to demonize Dems and throw away resources on Paxton. Plus: Bill and Tim share their new long shot picks (in South Carolina, Florida, and Kentucky), Thom Tillis is a coward and a weakling, online trolls claiming The Bulwark is trying to get Dems more hawkish on the war really ought to catch one of our podcasts, and Russia's got a worrisome plague outbreak.

Bill Kristol joins Tim Miller.
show notes:

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