Prof G Markets
Prof G Markets

Why The Stock Market Is Booming — But Your Paycheck Isn't

October 19, 2026

AI Summary

5 min read

The latest inflation data is raising red flags that many investors are ignoring. Consumer prices rose 3.7% in September from a year earlier, the highest annual rate since May, while average hourly earnings fell 0.7% after adjusting for inflation — the sixth straight month of decline. As co-host Scott Galloway puts it, "Inflation is a regressive tax with a birth certificate. If you own assets, it's a tailwind. But if you're young and renting, it's a mugging."

The K-Shape on Steroids

The core argument of the episode is that the American economy is experiencing a violent K-shaped recovery that has only intensified under the current administration. Corporate earnings in the S&P 500 have grown nearly 40% since Trump took office, driven by AI investment, productivity gains, and a booming stock market. Yet inflation-adjusted wage growth for the average American has been zero over the same period.

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What you'll learn

  • 1 Why The Stock Market Is Booming — But Your Paycheck Isn't
  • 2 (00:00) **Episode Opening & Sponsor Block** - Advertisements for Alphaspace by Yahoo Finance, Monday.com, and Bombas
  • 3 (01:36) **Opening Number: British Narrators** - Scott and Ed discuss how Americans are three times more likely to purchase audiobooks read by British narrators
  • 4 (02:09) **Scott's Father's Charm & The Scottish Accent** - Scott recounts discovering his father's charisma as a child, connecting it to his Glaswegian accent and eventual divorce
  • 5 (04:30) **What Women Find Attractive in Men** - Scott lists the three things women find most attractive: signaling resources, intelligence (communicated through humor), and not taking yourself seriously
  • 6 (06:21) **Pivot Tour Announcement** - Scott promotes the upcoming Pivot podcast tour starting November 2nd in multiple cities
  • 7 (08:08) **The Inflation Report: Worst of the Year** - Consumer prices rose 3.7% in September, the highest annual rate since May, while inflation-adjusted earnings declined for six consecutive months

+ Full timestamped outline available in the app

Guests on this episode

Show Notes

Scott Galloway and Ed Elson break down the latest inflation report, explaining why they think the consumer spending data may be misleading and why real wage growth is the economic indicator that matters most. Then, they examine the latest moves in AI stocks and Anthropic’s financials, including the growing divide between public and private markets. Finally, they discuss Bumble’s reported move toward going private and whether the struggles of dating apps point to a broader shift toward in-person socializing.


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