Stocks Have Their Best Quarter in 6 Years & ‘Supergirl’ is a Super Flop
July 1, 2026
AI Summary
5 min readThe stock market just wrapped up its best quarter in six years, but the rally is narrower than it looks. AI has split the market in half, with semiconductor and memory stocks lapping the broader indexes while the Magnificent Seven stumble. Meanwhile, DC’s big bet on Supergirl flopped hard, a new study suggests AI adopters are hiring humans faster than their peers, and streaming services are about to face a new California law that could change how loud those ads get.
The Market’s First Half: AI’s Picks and Shovels Win
The first half of 2026 was a barnburner for stocks. The Nasdaq finished up 21% in the second quarter, its best since Q2 2020. The S&P 500 and Dow followed close behind, up 15% and 13% respectively. But the headline masks a dramatic rotation. For years, the Magnificent Seven—Microsoft, Google, Apple, Amazon, and Nvidia—powered the market. That has reversed. In the last month alone, Microsoft fell 20%, Nvidia 13%, and Apple and Amazon 8%. Instead, Wall Street is rewarding the companies selling the picks and shovels to the AI buildout. A key semiconductor index surged 81% in the quarter. Memory-focused names like Micron and Sandisk rose over 300% and 760% respectively. The top performing stocks of 2026 so far are almost all in the data center supply chain: Sandisk up 857%, Micron up 303%, Intel up 278%, Western Digital up 271%.
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What you'll learn
- 1 (02:59) **H1 2026 Stock Market Recap** - Nasdaq rose 21% in Q2 for its best quarter since 2020, with S&P 500 and Dow also posting strong gains
- 2 (06:01) **Unwinding of the Debasement Trade** - Gold posted its worst quarter in 13 years while the dollar surged on confidence in new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh
- 3 (08:18) **AI Adopters Hiring Faster Than Peers** - Ramp and Rivelio Labs study of 22,000 firms shows heavy AI spenders grew headcount 10.2% over two years
- 4 (10:16) **Economic Theories on AI and Employment** - Jevons Paradox and lump of labor fallacy suggest AI could increase rather than reduce total work
- 5 (12:55) **Supergirl Box Office Flop** - Film opened to $37 million domestically against $290 million in production and marketing costs
- 6 (14:10) **DC Studios Current State** - James Gunn and Peter Safran reboot began with strong Superman results but Supergirl now raises questions about the new direction
- 7 (19:01) **Neil’s Numbers: Vintage SUVs as Status Symbols** - Women under 50 buying 1960s-70s Broncos rose 82% in three years; celebrities driving restored Broncos and Land Cruisers
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Show Notes
#879: It’s the first day of the second half of 2026, which means it’s time to wrap up the first half of the markets! A new study shows heavy AI adopters are actually expanding their workforce. DC Studios’ Supergirl flops at the box office – is this a worrying sign for the reboot plan? Then a special Wednesday edition of Neal’s Numbers (cause we’re off Thursday) on a new ‘hot girl’ accessory, Biscoff is booming, and old content is still tried and true among movie watchers.
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