Ed Zitron: The AI Bubble is Bleeding Cash, Here Are The Receipts
June 21, 2026
AI Summary
5 min readEd Zitron, author of the Where's Your Ed at newsletter and host of the Better Offline podcast, joined Monetary Matters to lay out the case that the artificial intelligence industry is not a revolution but a financial bubble sustained by opaque accounting, circular capital flows, and a quasi-religious belief in future breakthroughs. The core of his argument is not that large language models are useless, but that the economics of the companies building them are fundamentally broken and unlike anything seen in previous tech booms.
The Unprecedented Scale of the Losses
Zitron’s central claim is that the losses at the two leading AI labs, OpenAI and Anthropic, are historically anomalous. He obtained access to OpenAI’s 2025 financials and found a net loss from operations of roughly $21 billion on $13.07 billion in revenue. The company spent $34 billion total, with $5.73 billion alone going to sales and marketing—more than Coca-Cola’s annual budget. Zitron argues this category is suspiciously inflated, likely containing the cost of free compute credits given to customers or the cut Microsoft takes for selling OpenAI’s models, rather than traditional advertising. He contrasts this with the dot-com era: Uber burned roughly $32 billion total before becoming messy profitable, and Amazon Web Services cost about $55 billion in cumulative CapEx over 14 years. OpenAI has raised $1
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What you'll learn
- 1 (00:00) **Introduction & Ed Zitron's AI Skepticism** - Jack Farley introduces Ed Zitron, author of *Where's Your Ed At* newsletter and *Better Offline* podcast, to discuss the ROI of AI spending.
- 2 (01:08) **OpenAI's Financials: $21 Billion Loss** - Ed details OpenAI's 2025 finances, showing a net loss of nearly $21 billion on $13.07 billion in revenue.
- 3 (02:06) **Comparing AI Losses to Uber & Amazon** - Ed contrasts OpenAI's losses with historical unprofitable companies like Uber and Amazon Web Services.
- 4 (03:36) **The "Rocket on a Bubble" Theory** - Ed explains that tech is out of hypergrowth ideas, and AI was meant to be the next AWS or iPhone.
- 5 (07:09) **Variable Costs & The "Three Card Monty"** - Ed highlights that AI companies have high variable costs, unlike traditional software, and that OpenAI's margins are worsening.
- 6 (10:10) **Deep Dive into OpenAI's 2025 Financials** - Ed breaks down OpenAI's specific costs, focusing on the suspicious $5.73 billion in sales and marketing.
- 7 (15:03) **The "Eight Billion Dollar" Myth** - Ed refutes the claim that OpenAI's true loss was $8 billion, calling it "Lala land accountancy."
+ Full timestamped outline available in the app
Guests on this episode
Show Notes
Ed Zitron is one of the most prolific skeptic of the AI Boom. Having just reported OpenAI’s 2025 financial loss, he joins Jack to argue that the sheer size of the losses by the large language model (LLM) companies are unsustainable and the operational costs of training and running LLMs far exceeds the revenue customers are willing to pay. Ed also discusses Meta’s confusing AI strategy, the risk (and fall?) of the tokenmaxxing era, and Anthropic’s suspension of Fable 5. Recorded June 19, 2026.
Pieces discussed in the interview:
“Exclusive: OpenAI Losses Increased Nearly 8X in 2025, With Spending Hitting $34 Billion”:
https://www.wheresyoured.at/exclusive-openai-financials/
“AI Is Slowing Down”: https://www.wheresyoured.at/ai-is-slowing-down/
“AI's Brokenomics”: https://www.wheresyoured.at/brokenomics/
“OpenAI spending hit $34bn last year ahead of planned IPO”: https://www.ft.com/content/e15b0d7e-ff6b-4f16-ba7a-4068feddb828?syn-25a6b1a6=1
Follow Ed Zitron on X https://x.com/edzitron
Follow Jack Farley on X https://x.com/jackfarley96Ed’s newsletter: https://www.wheresyoured.at/
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