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The other war affecting fuel prices

July 10, 2026

AI Summary

5 min read

The Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes revealed more internal division than the unanimous rate decision suggested, and the central bank’s new chairman, Kevin Warsh, is already reshaping how the institution operates. Meanwhile, a different kind of war—Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian refineries—is tightening global fuel supplies and boosting profits for U.S. refiners. And new data shows that data centers, often blamed for rising electricity bills, have actually lowered residential rates in some states, though that dynamic is starting to shift.

The Fed’s internal divide and Warsh’s early moves

The Federal Open Market Committee’s June meeting minutes showed unanimity on holding rates steady, but the discussion behind that decision was more contentious than the headline suggested. Marketplace host Kai Rizdahl and Bloomberg’s David Gurr pushed back against a reading from Brookings’ Robin Brooks, who had argued the minutes were less hawkish than markets assumed. Gurr said the minutes revealed “some division among policymakers” and that inflation, already above the Fed’s target, “was proving to be a persistent problem, is bleeding beyond just energy and other parts of the economy.” Rizdahl agreed, calling it “roiling concern.”

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What you'll learn

  • 1 (01:46) **Show Open & Friday Roundtable Preview** - Kai Ryssdal introduces the Friday roundtable format with David Gurr (Bloomberg) and Heather Long (Navy Federal).
  • 2 (02:08) **Fed Minutes: Hawkish or Not?** - The panel debates whether the latest FOMC minutes signal deeper concern about persistent inflation.
  • 3 (03:46) **Warsh's New Fed Task Forces** - Analysis of Chairman Kevin Warsh's five new advisory task forces and their membership.
  • 4 (05:13) **Waller on Forward Guidance & Warsh's Influence** - Governor Christopher Waller suggests too much forward guidance is bad, signaling Warsh's impact.
  • 5 (06:23) **Uncertainty in the Economy** - The panel discusses the broader climate of economic uncertainty beyond the Fed.
  • 6 (07:33) **Week Ahead Preview** - David Gurr highlights the June 14th CPI release and Kevin Warsh's first Humphrey-Hawkins testimony on Capitol Hill as key events.
  • 7 (08:48) **The Other War Affecting Fuel Prices** - A deep dive into how Ukrainian attacks on Russian refineries are tightening global fuel supply and boosting U.S. refiner margins.

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Guests on this episode

Show Notes

Energy prices are up, and we’ve got a war to thank. Two wars, actually. While all eyes have been on Trump’s on-again, off-again conflict with Iran, Ukraine has ramped up attacks on Russian oil refineries — and the effects are rippling through the global energy market. Also in this episode: Data centers ease electricity bills in some places (for now), travelers turn to buses as airfares rise, and Kai discusses the week’s economic headlines.


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