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A view of AI, from Mumbai

October 16, 2026

AI Summary

5 min read

A view of AI, from Mumbai

The producer price index came in at a whopping 6.3% year over year. When Courtney Brown of Axios opened that release, her reaction was simple: "Whoa." That single number set the tone for a packed Marketplace episode that wove together hot inflation data, Fed policy uncertainty, and a dispatch from Mumbai on how India's tech workforce is reshaping the global economy.

Inflation keeps running hot

The PPI number was the headline, but the detail that caught Brown's attention was where the heat was coming from. "It looks like this is no longer just a Iran war energy problem," she said. The service sector—what economists call "supercore"—is running hot too, along with other parts of the economy. That means the Federal Reserve has a genuine inflation problem on its hands, not one it can blame entirely on energy shocks from the Middle East.

For consumers, the pain is showing up in real wages, which have fallen six months in a row. Catherine Rampel of the Bulwark noted that American consumers have "basically hated this economy for years," and now there's a clear reason: wage growth is being outpaced by rising costs across categories. Home insurance is one example she cited, but it's broader than that. Savings rates are trending down as people dip into reserves to cover daily expenses.

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What you'll learn

  • 1 (01:48) **Hot Inflation Data** - CPI at 3.7%, PPI at 6.3% year over year, signaling the Fed has an inflation problem.
  • 2 (02:55) **Real Wages Falling & Consumer Sentiment** - Real wages have fallen for six months in a row, explaining why consumers feel "yucky" despite strong fundamentals.
  • 3 (04:11) **The Fed's Non-Forward Guidance** - Chair Powell's silence in Bangkok was interpreted by markets as a signal that rates likely won't rise in October.
  • 4 (07:23) **Strategic View of the Economy** - Catherine Rampell offers a high-level take: the economy is running hot but showing fragility.
  • 5 (09:28) **Fertilizer Prices Squeeze Farmers** - Key fertilizer components are up 20% year over year, forcing tough decisions for farmers.
  • 6 (11:36) **A Small Business Owner's Perspective** - Philip Rollins, owner of Offbeat records and comics in Jackson, Mississippi, discusses his current challenges.
  • 7 (13:40) **Market Numbers** - A down day for stocks, with the Nasdaq having its worst week since April 2025.

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Guests on this episode

Show Notes

India’s economy, from one perspective, has a huge leg up on the U.S.: Its workforce is young and growing. “Marketplace” host Kai Ryssdal visited Mumbai to learn what that growth looks like on the ground. In this episode, Kai and ADP Chief Economist Nela Richardson visit a Mumbai-based healthcare startup that’s using AI to detect disesases early. They also reflect on the trip as a whole. Plus: Farmers face down high fertilizer prices and we break down the week’s inflation data.


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