How the New Middle East Was Made with Simon Sebag Montefiore
October 13, 2026
AI Summary
5 min readHow the New Middle East Was Made
The Israeli flight from Dubai to Tel Aviv two days ago was nearly hijacked by an Omani pilot who tried to kill his Indian co-pilot and crash the plane. Four Israeli passengers stormed the cockpit and stopped him. The plane landed safely in Saudi Arabia, where the Saudis welcomed the Israeli passengers and treated them warmly. Historian Simon Sebag Montefiore sees this as a compressed symbol of the entire new Middle East: the Abraham Accords thriving, Saudi normalization still possible, India's rising alliance with Israel, and ordinary Israelis stepping into a breach left by their own state — just as they did on October 7th. But also the dark side: Iran, cornered and desperate, activating its terrorist networks. "This is a moment of amazing potential in the Middle East," Montefiore says, even after so much tragedy.
The Two Islams
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What you'll learn
- 1 Timestamped Outline
- 2 (00:00) **Introduction: Bari Weiss Returns** - Bari welcomes listeners back and introduces Simon Sebag Montefiore, framing his new book as urgently relevant in an age of "counterhistory"
- 3 (02:54) **The Plane Over Saudi Arabia: A Metaphor for the New Middle East** - A real-time event—an attempted hijacking of a Dubai-to-Tel Aviv flight thwarted by passengers—illustrates the region's transformed dynamics
- 4 (04:53) **The Abraham Accords Are Thriving, Not Dying** - Contrary to expectations, normalization between Israel and Gulf states is deepening, with Saudi Arabia showing willingness
- 5 (09:34) **Israel's Return to Its Pioneer Ethos** - The heroic passenger intervention reflects a shift back to Israel's early self-reliance after decades of complacency
- 6 (13:20) **Two Islams, Not One** - The "clash of civilizations" narrative is a Western misunderstanding; the real battle is within Islam itself
- 7 (17:10) **October 7th: One of the Most Successful Arab Victories Since 1187** - Montefiore's provocative framing: Hamas lost in Gaza but won in the West
+ Full timestamped outline available in the app
Guests on this episode
Show Notes
Last week I had the privilege of sitting down with one of the foremost historians of our time, Simon Sebag Montefiore. As I write this, his work has never felt more urgent. “We’re in a new world of counterhistory,” he said recently. “A new world of counterhistory where neither historical facts nor present-time facts matter if they don’t fit the ideological orthodoxy.” It is “our responsibility as historians,” he said, “to stand up and be unafraid to contradict conventional wisdom, surging conspiracies, witch hunts, purity tests, pile-ons that are used to crush debate . . . and to say persuasively, ‘This is what happened.’ ” And that is what he does in his brilliant new book, The Cauldron: The Making of the Modern Middle East. But don’t worry. This is Sebag. I promise you this is not some serious, dry textbook. There is a chapter in his book called “Fat Fucker” (which was the CIA’s code name for King Farouk of Egypt). You will learn in his pages that a Palestine Liberation Organization terrorist was married to a Miss Universe. That Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi and President John F. Kennedy were both johns at Madame Claude’s Parisian brothel. And that Saddam Hussein was raised by an uncle who wrote a pamphlet titled “Three Whom God Should Not Have Created: Persians, Jews, and Flies.” Okay, maybe that last one was predictable. Sebag has said that this book is the hardest he has ever written, and is a subject that only someone “bonkers” would tackle. Bonkers or brilliant or both: You’ll decide. Sebag is, of course, the author of over a dozen other books such as Stalin: The Court of the Red Tsar, The Romanovs, and Catherine the Great & Potemkin, which are essential to understanding power, politics, revolution, dictatorships, and above all, human nature. I asked him how he makes sense of the fight within Islam itself, why we’re so fixated on this region, whether the Middle East’s plight is the product of Western intervention or the choices of its own leaders, how the Gulf States came to ally with Israel and Iran with China and Russia, who is winning the current war, and much more. I am so thrilled to share the conversation I had with him—live—in NYC.
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