HBR IdeaCast
HBR IdeaCast

How Top World Cup, NBA, and NFL Coaches Make Better Decisions Under Pressure

June 30, 2026

AI Summary

5 min read

In a single four-second NBA timeout, a coach processed past, present, and future. He thought about the play, then about whether changing the call to follow his star player would make the rest of the team resent the decision. He made the call anyway, not because the data said so, but because he had built enough trust with that player in hallway conversations and locker room moments to know he could rely on his judgment. That four-second window, as sports performance consultant Alan McCall and sports scientist Johann Bilsborough explain, was the product of months of preparation, not instinct.

McCall and Bilsborough, who have worked with FIFA World Cup teams, NBA franchises, and NFL organizations, interviewed elite coaches to understand how they make high-stakes decisions under extreme pressure. Their research, published in Harvard Business Review, identifies a clear three-phase structure: what happens before, during, and after a decision. The lessons apply directly to business leaders who face similar pressures of scrutiny, second-guessing, and high consequences.

The Before: Preparation and Trust

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What you'll learn

  • 1 (02:48) **Why Elite Sports Coaches Offer Lessons for Business** - Alan and Johan explain that coaches face hundreds of decisions daily, involving people, relationships, and high stakes, just like business leaders.
  • 2 (06:56) **Phase 1: Preparation and Trust-Building Before the Decision** - Elite coaches invest heavily in preparation and trust long before a high-stakes moment.
  • 3 (08:40) **Filtering Information and Scenario Planning** - Coaches manage data overload by focusing on what matters and running "what if" scenarios.
  • 4 (10:37) **Phase 2: Managing Emotions in the Moment** - Elite coaches keep emotions in check during high-pressure decisions, but don't ignore them.
  • 5 (13:59) **Reading Others and Thinking Ahead in Real Time** - Coaches assess team members' states and consider future consequences, even in seconds.
  • 6 (15:43) **Balancing Data, Gut Instinct, and the "Coach's Eye"** - Elite coaches use data but sense-check it with experience and trusted advisors.
  • 7 (19:29) **Phase 3: The Aftermath – No Blame, Fast Forward** - After a decision, elite coaches focus on process, not blame, and move on quickly.

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Guests on this episode

Show Notes

When the stakes are high and the clock is ticking, how do great leaders make the right call? Sports performance consultant Alan McCall and sports scientist Johann Bilsborough say that leaders can improve decision-making before, during, and after critical moments, based on lessons they’ve learned from elite sports coaches. They share research on why preparation matters more than instinct, how to filter signal from noise, and why trust and relationships often determine the quality of decisions long before a crisis occurs. McCall and Bilsborough are coauthors, along with Adrian Wolfberg and Ricard Pruna, of the HBR article “How Elite Sports Coaches Make High-Pressure Decisions.”

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