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The race for tech supremacy: The U.S. vs. China

August 12, 2026

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5 min read

The race for tech supremacy: The U.S. vs. China

In a Xiaomi car factory in Beijing, two hundred giant robots produce a finished vehicle every seventy-six seconds. The CEO of Ford Motor Company visited factories like this and called it "the most humbling thing he had ever seen." But at a convenience store downstairs from a robot company's offices, a robot confidently grabbed a hot dog, dropped it into the machine, and tried to charge the customer anyway—completely unaware it had failed. These two scenes, as New Yorker staff writer Evan Osnos describes them, capture something essential about China's technological push: real advances exist alongside overblown claims, and separating the two is a central challenge for anyone trying to understand what is happening.

Why China thinks it might be winning

Osnos's reporting, published in his article "The Future Made in China," makes clear that China's leadership has concluded the United States is in decline—but remains dangerous. A think tank report issued with high-level approval was titled "Thank Trump," arguing that Trump is "hastening the twilight of an empire" by attacking the civil service, scientific institutions, universities, and alliances like NATO. Xi Jinping has described the current moment as one "unseen in centuries"—a Chinese euphemism for an opportunity they have not had in a very long time.

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What you'll learn

  • 1 (00:15) **Introduction: The Stakes of the U.S.-China Tech Race** - Host Terry Gross introduces guest Evan Osnos, a New Yorker staff writer and former Beijing bureau chief, whose latest article examines whether the era of American global leadership is ending.
  • 2 (01:50) **How the Iran War Shifts the Balance of Power** - Osnos explains that the U.S. military diversion to the Middle East has created a strategic opening for China.
  • 3 (04:05) **The Irony of U.S. Reliance on Chinese Supply Chains** - The U.S. is dependent on Chinese factories to produce the very munitions needed to counter China.
  • 4 (05:04) **China’s Cautious Alignment with Iran** - Beijing has supported Iran without overtly joining the conflict, maintaining a strategy of challenging the U.S. without full confrontation.
  • 5 (06:39) **How China Views the U.S.: A Declining but Dangerous Rival** - Osnos explains the Chinese perception of America as an empire in decline that may lash out unpredictably.
  • 6 (08:49) **How China Turned Tariffs to Its Advantage** - China prepared for Trump’s tariffs by building self-reliance and pivoting exports to new markets, effectively neutralizing the intended economic pressure.
  • 7 (11:47) **Xi Jinping’s “Thank Trump” Strategy** - A state-approved think tank report titled “Thank Trump” argues that the president is hastening the decline of the American empire.

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Guests on this episode

Show Notes

China produces at least 70% of the world’s drones, electric vehicles, lithium-ion batteries and solar cells. And with the U.S. stockpile of munitions diminished from the Iran war, would the U.S. have what it needs to defend Taiwan if China invaded? Terry Gross talks with New Yorker staff writer Evan Osnos about his latest story, “The Future Made in China.” “The irony here is that we are in some ways beholden right now to the Chinese factory in order to produce the munitions that we need to defend American interests from China. That’s the exquisite problem that we've found ourselves in,” Osnos says. 


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