NFL Week 7 Best Bets: Top Player Props & Anytime TD Picks (Ep. 2290)

October 24, 2026

AI Summary

5 min read

NFL Week 7 Best Bets: Rebounding After a Rough Slate

Chris Welsh and Andrew Erickson of the Betting Pros podcast enter Week 7 nursing their worst week of the season. Erickson calls it "all-time worst prop I think I've ever given out" — a reference to Cam Scataboo's disastrous outing. Welsh went 1-4, Erickson 2-3, and their touchdown calls have been unusually cold: both have only two correct anytime touchdown picks all season, and every single one has been a tight end. That fact becomes a running theme as they build their Week 7 card around National Tight Ends Day on Sunday.

The Gibbs Rollover and the Narrative Edge

The hosts have been running a Jameer Gibbs anytime touchdown rollover for five consecutive weeks, and it's now sitting at roughly 4.5 units. The bet gains extra momentum from a team-level narrative: Gibbs has publicly talked about wanting to break LaDainian Tomlinson's single-season touchdown record (32 total touchdowns). "This is now becoming a team goal," Welsh explains. "They enter the fourth quarter and they're looking around like, wait, has Gibbs scored a touchdown yet? Oh no, we need to get Gibbs's touchdown." The Lions face the Packers in a game with a 53.5 total, so the scoring environment is favorable. The hosts acknowledge the odds will be juiced (typically minus 200 to minus 400), but the rollover approach means they're playing with house money fro

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What you'll learn

1 (00:02) **Week 7 Preview & Week 6 Recap** - Welsh and Erickson recap a brutal week 6, acknowledging several near-misses and a disastrous "Scam Scataboo" call.
2 (03:10) **Jahmyr Gibbs Touchdown Rollover Update** - The hosts check in on their ongoing Gibbs anytime TD rollover bet, now entering week 7 with a 4.5-unit stake.
3 (05:22) **Prop #1: Kyren Williams Over 60.5 Rushing Yards (Erickson)** - Erickson picks Kyren Williams to bounce back against a weak Raiders run defense, citing a "squeaky wheel" narrative.
4 (07:49) **Prop #2: Tank Dell Over 8.5 Receiving Yards (Welsh)** - Welsh takes the "low-hanging fruit" of Tank Dell's receiving yards prop, betting he will catch at least one pass.
5 (13:50) **Prop #3: Kyler Murray Under 30.5 Pass Attempts (Erickson)** - Erickson fades Kyler Murray's pass attempts, betting on a run-heavy game script against a vulnerable Colts defense.
6 (18:06) **Prop #4: Tre Tucker Over 40.5 Receiving Yards (Welsh)** - Welsh backs Tre Tucker to continue his hot streak against the Rams, despite a tough matchup on paper.
7 (20:03) **Prop #5: Tyrone Tracy Under 25.5 Rushing Yards (Erickson)** - Erickson fades the Giants' messy backfield, betting on Tyrone Tracy to struggle against a stout Texans run defense.

+ Full timestamped outline available in the app

Guests on this episode

Chris Welsh Andrew Erickson

Show Notes

Chris Welsh and Andrew Erickson are back with 10 NFL Week 7 player props as they look to bounce back from a rough Week 6.

Can Tank Dell make an immediate impact? Is Bo Nix due for a big game? The guys break down their favorite overs, unders, and matchup advantages.

National Tight Ends Day takes center stage with touchdown bets on Tucker Kraft and Trey McBride, plus a wild 55/1 first TD scorer pick!

Timestamps: (May be off due to ads)

Intro - 0:00:00

Week 6 Recap - 0:00:22

Kyren Williams - 0:05:03

Tank Dell - 0:07:30

Prop Bet Cheat Sheet - 0:12:33

Kyler Murray - 0:13:31

Tre Tucker - 0:15:17

Tyrone Tracy - 0:17:19

Geno Smith - 0:20:25

Polymarket - 0:22:08

Tyler Higbee - 0:22:58

Bo Nix - 0:24:36

Pat Freiermuth - 0:26:49

JK Dobbins - 0:28:21

TD Scorer Report - 0:31:47

TD Calls - 0:32:05

Outro - 0:39:40

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