NFL Week 5 Props to Bet: Top 10 Picks, TD Longshots & Best Bets (Ep. 2254)

October 10, 2026

AI Summary

5 min read

This episode of the Betting Pros podcast, hosted by Scott Bogman and Joe Madden, is a deep dive into Week 5 NFL player props. With regular hosts on vacation, the duo takes over the "Top 10 Prop Picks" segment, offering a mix of unders, overs, and touchdown bets. The conversation is grounded in specific matchups, defensive weaknesses, and player usage trends, providing a practical framework for how to approach prop betting beyond just picking winners.

The Case for Quarterback Unders: Game Script and Defensive Pressure

The episode begins with a strong theme: betting against quarterbacks in tough matchups. Joe Madden leads with Jalen Hurts under 6.5 rushing attempts against the Jaguars in London. His logic is layered: the Eagles are dealing with a banged-up offensive line, missing key receivers, and a hurt Saquon Barkley. The priority, as Bogman notes, is keeping Hurts upright, making designed runs unlikely. The Jaguars have also only allowed an average of 4.75 rushing attempts to quarterbacks this season, reinforcing the bet.

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What you'll learn

1 (01:55) **Welcome & Host Intro** - Scott Bogman and Joe Madden fill in for Welsh and Erickson, previewing a full weekend of prop picks instead of the usual single-game focus.
2 (02:38) **Last Week’s Results** - A quick recap of how Welsh and Erickson performed in Week 4.
3 (04:31) **Pick #1: Jalen Hurts Under 6.5 Rushing Attempts** - Joe Madden opens with an under on the Eagles QB ahead of the London game vs. Jacksonville.
4 (06:09) **Pick #2: Brock Purdy Under 32.5 Pass Attempts** - Scott Bogman counters with another QB under, this time on the 49ers QB vs. Seattle.
5 (08:12) **Pick #3: Daniel Jones Under 31.5 Pass Attempts** - Joe returns with a third QB under, targeting the Colts QB against the Steelers.
6 (09:37) **Pick #4: Jordan Love Under 33.5 Pass Attempts** - Scott picks another under, betting against the Packers QB vs. Chicago.
7 (11:03) **Pick #5: JSN Over 94.5 Receiving Yards** - Joe pivots to an over, backing the Seahawks WR at home vs. the 49ers.

+ Full timestamped outline available in the app

Guests on this episode

Scott Bogman

Show Notes

Scott Bogman and Jo Madden have 10 NFL Week 5 player props to attack, starting with a run of quarterback unders before turning to some of the weekend’s most intriguing receiving and rushing markets.

Can JSN torch San Francisco? Is Nico Collins headed for another big game? And is Michael Wilson’s reception line still too low against Detroit? Bogs and Jo make their cases and identify where the numbers offer value.

Stick around for anytime touchdown picks, first-TD longshots and a bonus look at Denver’s defense against the Chargers.

Timestamps: (May be off due to ads)

Intro - 0:00:00

Week 4 Recap - 0:01:30

Jalen Hurts Under 6.5 Rush Attempts - 0:03:22

Brock Purdy Under 32.5 Pass Attempts - 0:05:05

NFL Prop Bet Cheat - 0:06:40

Daniel Jones Under 31.5 Pass Attempts - 0:07:05

Jordan Love Under 33.5 Pass Attempts - 0:08:30

JSN Over 94.5 REC Yards - 0:09:57

Nico Collins Over 5.5 receptions - 0:11:21

Polymarket - 0:14:27

Tyson Bagent Over 10.5 Rushing Yards - 0:15:08

Michael Wilson Over 5.5 receptions - 0:17:14

Woody Marks Over 39.5 Rushing & Receiving - 0:19:26

RJ Harvey Over 5.5 Rush Attempts - 0:21:25

Touchdown Scorer Report - 0:24:59

TD Calls - 0:25:22

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