NFL Week 3 Player Props: 10 Best Bets + Anytime & First TD Picks (Ep. 2222)

September 26, 2026

AI Summary

5 min read

NFL Week 3 Player Props: 10 Best Bets + Anytime & First TD Picks

The Betting Pros crew—Chris Welsh and Andrew Erickson—are back for Week 3, coming off a week where both went 3-2. Erickson holds a commanding 7-3 record on the season while Welsh sits at an even 5-5. Neither hit a touchdown call last week, though Erickson came agonizingly close when Terry McLaurin had a touchdown reversed on review and then was missed wide open in the end zone by a rookie quarterback. The episode runs through ten prop bets, plus anytime touchdown and first touchdown picks, with the hosts explaining the reasoning behind each play.

The Quinchon Judkins Show

Both hosts independently landed on the same top play: Quinchon Judkins over 59.5 rushing yards. The logic is straightforward. The Carolina Panthers are giving up 173 rushing yards per game to running backs, and the Cleveland Browns have finally established a passing game, which should open up running lanes. Judkins has seen heavy carry volumes in the past and faces a Panthers defense allowing nearly 6.5 yards per carry. The rush attempts line has already moved from 12.5 to 15.5 during the week, but the rushing yards number hasn't caught up yet—creating value. Welsh admits he "stole" the play from Erickson after they discussed it separately, but both see it as the highest-conviction bet of the week.

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What you'll learn

1 (00:35) **Show Intro & Week 2 Recap** - Hosts Chris Welsh and Andrew Erickson recap their 3-2 performance in Week 2, with Erickson leading the season 7-3.
2 (04:11) **Prop #1: Quinchon Judkins Over 59.5 Rushing Yards** - Welsh leads with a running back prop he admits to "stealing" from Erickson's analysis.
3 (07:56) **Prop #1: Rashad White Over 2.5 Receptions** - Erickson counters with a pass-catching running back prop against a favorable defense.
4 (11:47) **Prop #2: O'Marion Hampton Under 61.5 Rushing Yards** - Erickson fades the Chargers' rookie RB against a stout Bills run defense.
5 (14:17) **Prop #2: Bucky Irving Over 2.5 Receptions** - Welsh pivots to a Buccaneers RB who has been a "reception demon" early in the season.
6 (18:15) **Prop #3: Kenyon Sadiq Over 26.5 Receiving Yards** - Erickson pivots from a hurt Adonai Mitchell to the Jets' rookie tight end.
7 (20:40) **Prop #3: DK Metcalf Under 51.5 Receiving Yards** - Welsh goes to his first under of the show, fading the Steelers' struggling offense.

+ Full timestamped outline available in the app

Guests on this episode

Chris Welsh Andrew Erickson

Show Notes

Chris Welsh and Andrew Erickson share their 10 favorite NFL Week 3 player props, including a strong rushing spot for Quinshon Judkins and several reception bets built around matchup and game script.

After the main card, they move into anytime and first-touchdown picks while keeping the Jahmyr Gibbs touchdown rollover alive for another week!

Timestamps: (May be off due to ads)

Intro - 0:00:00

Week 2 Recap - 0:00:29

Quinshon Judkins Rushing Yards - 0:03:36

Rachaad White over 2.5 receptions - 0:07:25

NFL Prop Bet Cheat - 0:10:02

Omarion Hampton Under 61.5 rushing yards - 0:10:58

Bucky Irving Receptions - 0:13:39

Kenyon Sadiq Over 26.5 receiving yards - 0:15:43

DK Metcalf Rec Yards - 0:18:34

Polymarket - 0:20:46

Chris Rodriguez receptions - 0:21:30

Devon Achane Receptions - 0:24:00

Chase Brown rushing yards - 0:26:20

Matthew Stafford Passing Yards - 0:28:04

Touchdown Scorer Report - 0:30:05

TD Calls - 0:30:45

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