6 SAFEST Fantasy Football Draft Picks | High-Floor Players You Can Trust (Ep. 2110)
August 3, 2026
AI Summary
5 min readSafe Picks That Won't Sink Your Fantasy Season
The FantasyPros crew—Alfredo Brown, Pat Fitzmorris, and Derek Brown—spent an episode identifying the six safest fantasy football draft picks for the upcoming season. Their criteria was straightforward: players with reliable floors who won't destroy your roster if they merely meet expectations, but who also carry enough upside to help you win. The conversation revealed a consistent pattern: the safest picks aren't the flashiest, and they often come with a psychological cost—the boredom of drafting a player everyone else finds unexciting.
Tetairoa McMillan: Betting on Talent Over Environment
Pat Fitzmorris kicked things off with a counterintuitive choice: second-year Panthers wide receiver Tetairoa McMillan. The logic runs against conventional wisdom. Bryce Young's 2024 numbers were dreadful—188.2 passing yards per game, 6.4 yards per attempt, and 25 or fewer passes in half his starts. Yet McMillan still cleared 1,000 yards as a rookie with a 25.4% target share and 30.7% of the Panthers' receiving yardage. "The fact that he was able to give us wide receiver two numbers last year in such a suboptimal environment suggests that the floor is pretty safe," Fitzmorris argued.
Continue reading the full summary in the app — free to try.
Read Full Summary →Free • No credit card required
Never miss an episode of FantasyPros - Fantasy Football Podcast
Get every new episode summarized in your inbox — free, ~5 minutes to read.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
What you'll learn
- 1 (00:37) **Introduction & Episode Setup** - Host Alfredo Brown introduces the topic: the safest fantasy football draft picks with high floors.
- 2 (01:12) **Tetairoa McMillan (WR, Panthers)** - Pat Fitzmorris argues McMillan is a safe pick despite a poor QB situation.
- 3 (03:14) **Derek Brown on McMillan's Risk** - Derek Brown shares his slightly lower view, citing concerns about Bryce Young and passing volume.
- 4 (04:52) **Derrick Henry (RB, Ravens)** - Derek Brown picks Henry as a safe, high-floor running back, arguing he's been an RB1 every healthy season since 2018.
- 5 (06:53) **Pat Fitzmorris on Henry's Age Risk** - Fitzmorris compares Henry to a high-mileage car, warning the age cliff could hit abruptly.
- 6 (09:18) **David Montgomery (RB, Texans)** - Fitzmorris picks Montgomery as a safe RB with a sturdy rushing floor in a run-friendly offense.
- 7 (11:50) **Derek Brown on Montgomery's Value** - Brown fully endorses Montgomery, noting he outperformed Woody Marks in every key efficiency metric last season.
+ Full timestamped outline available in the app
Guests on this episode
Show Notes
Safe doesn't have to mean boring.
Alfredo Brown, Pat Fitzmaurice and Derek Brown break down six of the safest fantasy football draft picks for the 2026 season. Whether you're looking for reliable weekly production or players who can outperform their ADP while minimizing risk, these are the high-floor stars you can confidently build around.
The crew discusses why Tetairoa McMillan is already one of fantasy's safest young receivers, whether Derrick Henry can continue defying Father Time, why David Montgomery could dominate touches in Houston, Terry McLaurin's outlook under a new offensive coordinator, Jared Goff's incredible year-to-year consistency, and why Travis Kelce remains a dependable fantasy tight end despite his age.
If you're trying to avoid early-round mistakes while maximizing weekly consistency, this episode is packed with actionable draft advice.
Timestamps: (May be off due to ads)
Intro - 0:00:00
Pat - Tetairoa McMillan (WR CAR) - 0:00:31
DBro - Derrick Henry (RB - BAL) - 0:04:03
Pat - David Montgomery (RB - HOU) - 0:08:41
DBro - Terry McLaurin (RB - WAS) - 0:14:07
Pat - Jared Goff (QB - DET) - 0:18:37
DBro - Travis Kelce (TE - KC) - 0:21:47
Outro - 0:23:28
Helpful Links:
Hard Rock Bet - Sign up for Hard Rock Bet and make a $5 bet and you'll get $150 in bonus bets if you win. Head over to Hard Rock Bet, sign up and make your first deposit today. Payable in bonus bet(s). Not a cash offer. Offered by the Seminole Tribe of Florida in FL. Offered by Seminole Hard Rock Digital, LLC, in all other states. Must be 21+ and physically present in AZ, CO, FL, IL, IN, NJ, OH, TN or VA to play. Terms and conditions apply. Concerned about gambling? In FL, call 1-888-ADMIT-IT. In IN, if you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-9-WITH-IT. GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER (AZ, CO, IL, NJ, OH, TN, VA)
Draft Wizard - Dominate your fantasy football draft with Draft Wizard. Run fast mock drafts, test different strategies, build custom cheat sheets, get pick-by-pick draft advice, and learn your leaguemates' tendencies before draft day. Just download the FantasyPros App or head to fantasypros.com/draftwizard
Follow us on Twitch - The team here at FantasyPros is taking questions all week, every week on Twitch. Follow us on Twitch at twitch.tv/fantasypros and never miss a stream!
More from this podcast