2026 Fantasy Football Make or Break Picks: Chris Olave, Rashee Rice, De’Von Achane, Trey McBride & More (Ep. 2063)

June 23, 2026

AI Summary

5 min read

“I don't like to be wrong early on,” says Tara Roberts on the FantasyPros podcast. “Wrong later, not a big deal. And right later, oh, that's league winner kind of stuff.” That tension—between the cost of being wrong and the payoff of being right—is the core of the "make or break" draft pick. In this episode, Joey P., Andrew Erickson, and Tara Roberts walk through a slate of high-variance players for 2026 fantasy football, weighing whether the upside justifies the risk at each player’s current ADP.

The Case for the "Make" Side: Olave, Rice, and Achane

The panel starts with players they are actively targeting despite obvious risk. Chris Olave (WR11 in ECR) is the first name. Andrew Erickson argues that the environment has shifted in his favor. Last year, Olave finished as WR6 despite a rocky start with Spencer Rattler, then exploded once Tyler Shocker took over. The concern is whether Shocker can sustain that level, and whether rookie Jordan Tyson eats into the target share. But Erickson sees a parallel to the Bo Nix–Courtland Sutton arc from 2024: a young quarterback who finished strong, then regressed when the offense became more balanced. The difference, he argues, is that Kellen Moore’s offense pushes pass volume (30–40 attempts per game), and the Saints have no established WR2. Olave is the clear alpha in a system that will throw.

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What you'll learn

1 (00:35) **Introduction & Make-or-Break Framework** - Joey P. introduces the concept of make-or-break picks and welcomes Andrew Erickson and Tara Roberts.
2 (03:39) **Target: Chris Olave** - The panel discusses why Olave is a make candidate despite health and QB concerns.
3 (07:38) **Target: Rashee Rice** - Andrew explains why Rice's elite per-game production and red-zone usage outweigh his off-field and injury risks.
4 (10:15) **Target: De'Von Achane** - Tara argues Achane can be a league-winner despite Miami's offensive uncertainty.
5 (14:50) **Target: Ken Walker** - Andrew sees Walker as a potential RB1 in Kansas City, filling the Kareem Hunt role with elite explosiveness.
6 (19:03) **Avoid: Tetairoa McMillan** - Tara explains why McMillan's ADP is too rich given Carolina's low-volume, inefficient offense.
7 (22:47) **Avoid: Trey McBride** - Andrew argues McBride's ADP (overall ~22) is too high for a tight end, given potential regression and new competition for targets.

+ Full timestamped outline available in the app

Guests on this episode

Andrew Erickson Tara Roberts

Show Notes

Joey P, Andrew Erickson and Tera Roberts break down the biggest make-or-break picks in 2026 fantasy football drafts, including risky early-round stars, polarizing breakout candidates, and late-round sleepers with league-winning upside.

We dive into whether Chris Olave, Rashee Rice, De’Von Achane, Ken Walker, Trey McBride, Jalen Waddle, Malik Nabers, Marvin Harrison Jr., Kyle Pitts, Parker Washington and more are worth the risk at cost — or if they’re too rich for your blood in fantasy football drafts this season.

If you’re preparing for your 2026 fantasy football draft, this episode will help you decide which boom/bust players are worth betting on and which ones to avoid.

Timestamps: (May be off due to ads)

Intro - 0:00:00

Chris Olave - 0:03:08

Rashee Rice - 0:06:55

De’Von Achane - 0:09:39

Kenneth Walker - 0:14:16

FantasyPros Draft Simulator - 0:17:50

Tetairoa McMillan - 0:18:20

Trey McBride - 0:22:10

Jaylen Waddle - 0:26:50

Malik Nabers - 0:31:02

Hard Rock Bet - 0:33:25

Marvin Harrison Jr. - 0:34:58

Bhayshul Tuten - 0:37:40

Blake Corum - 0:40:32

RJ Harvey - 0:43:05

Kyle Pitts - 0:46:55

Parker Washington - 0:50:25

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