12 High-Upside Wide Receivers to Target BEFORE Their ADPs Explode (Ep. 2109)

August 1, 2026

AI Summary

5 min read

12 High-Upside Wide Receivers to Target Before Their ADPs Explode

Zay Flowers finished as the WR7 in 2025 with 1,200 receiving yards and 86 catches — but only six touchdowns. That touchdown total was the outlier among every 1,200-yard receiver last season, and it's the exact reason the FantasyPros analysts see him as a screaming value at his current ADP in rounds three through six. "Every other receiver that hit 1,200 yards last year had eight touchdowns," Erickson noted. "The only outlier was Zay Flowers."

The Early-Round Alphas: Why Scheme Change Matters

The core logic for targeting Flowers in the early-to-mid rounds hinges on a single variable: the Ravens hired a new offensive coordinator, Declan Doyle, who comes from Ben Johnson's staff in Detroit. Under Todd Monken, Baltimore ranked dead last in pass rate over expectation. If Doyle brings even a modest increase in passing volume, Flowers' already elite efficiency metrics — fourth in yards per route run, fifth in target share at 28% — could translate into the touchdown regression that makes him a league-winner.

Scott Bogman added that Flowers did all this while Lamar Jackson missed time and had a down year by his standards. "It's kind of scary what he could be."

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What you'll learn

1 (00:39) **Show Introduction & Framework** - Host and guests (Erickson, Scott Bogman) set up the episode's structure: early-round alphas (rounds 3-6), mid-round upside plays (rounds 7-10), and late-round sleepers, all in half-PPR.
2 (02:38) **Zay Flowers (BAL) - Early-Round Alpha** - Erickson's first pick, arguing a new offensive coordinator (Declan Doyle) will unlock Flowers' touchdown ceiling.
3 (06:08) **Mike Evans (SF) - Early-Round Value** - Bogman highlights Evans as a WR3 (ADP 61) with WR1 potential, betting on a healthy season in a depleted 49ers offense.
4 (08:49) **Jalen Waddle (DEN) - Early-Round Alpha** - Erickson's second pick, betting on Waddle as the clear WR1 in a high-volume Broncos passing attack.
5 (13:18) **Carnell Tate (TEN) - Early-Round Alpha** - Erickson's third pick, touting Tate's fit with Cam Ward's big-play style and his elite contested-catch ability.
6 (15:49) **Marvin Harrison Jr. (ARI) - Mid-Round Upside** - Bogman's pick, arguing this is the last chance for a breakout, driven by a new offense and a potential QB upgrade.
7 (22:48) **Parker Washington (JAX) - Mid-Round Upside** - Erickson's pick, identifying Washington as a year-four breakout candidate with elite efficiency metrics.

+ Full timestamped outline available in the app

Guests on this episode

Scott Bogman

Show Notes

Matt Modi is joined by Andrew Erickson and Scott Bogman to break down their favorite fantasy football WR targets across every stage of your draft. From early-round stars like Zay Flowers and Jaylen Waddle to mid-round breakout candidates including Parker Washington and Marvin Harrison Jr., plus late-round sleepers like Trey Harris, Jayden Higgins and Antonio Williams, the crew identifies the receivers who could dramatically outperform their ADP this season.

Whether you're searching for WR1 upside, undervalued draft values or deep sleepers that can win your fantasy league, this episode has you covered.

Timestamps: (May be off due to ads)

Intro - 0:00:00

Zay Flowers - 0:02:03

Mike Evans - 0:05:33

Jaylen Waddle - 0:08:14

Carnell Tate - 0:12:42

FantasyPros Premium Giveaways - 0:14:23

Marvin Harrison Jr. - 0:15:15

Parker Washington - 0:22:08

Chris Godwin - 0:27:41

Jordan Tyson - 0:31:30

FantasyPros Draft Wizard - 0:34:15

Wan’Dale Robinson - 0:35:05

Jayden Higgins - 0:40:03

Tre Harris - 0:44:32

Antonio Williams - 0:53:08

Hard Rock Bet - 0:58:25

Outro - 1:00:25

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