Establish The Run - NFL Premium
Establish The Run - NFL Premium

Establish The Show: Conference Championships

January 26, 2024

AI Summary

5 min read

The Establish The Run crew—Adam Levitan, Evan Silva, and Andrew Wiggins—break down the two-game conference championship slate with a focus on team-play cash-game construction on DraftKings and FanDuel. The throughline is clear: this is a slate defined by extreme pricing disparities and stark defensive mismatches, making Brock Purdy the most logical cash-game quarterback despite his recent struggles, while Christian McCaffrey remains so underpriced on DraftKings that fading him is nearly impossible. The conversation moves methodically through each position, weighing ownership projections, injury reports, and defensive schematics.

The Quarterback Conundrum: Purdy as the Clear Cash Play

The most popular quarterback on the slate will be Brock Purdy, and for good reason. While Purdy has played poorly in recent weeks—Adam notes he "did not think he was good" against either the Ravens or the Packers—the matchup against Detroit is a dramatic correction. The Lions defense has been shredded by Nick Mullens (twice) and Baker Mayfield. Evan adds that Purdy's poor divisional-round performance had legitimate explanations: Deebo Samuel left early, the rain affected the passing game, and Green Bay's defensive front won against San Francisco's offensive line. With Deebo back at full health and the Lions vulnerable through the air, the 49ers should throw the ball all over them.

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What you'll learn

  • 1 (00:06) **Welcome & Show Setup** - Adam Levitan introduces the conference championship edition with Evan Silva and Andrew Wiggins.
  • 2 (01:48) **Quarterback: Brock Purdy & the 49ers Offense** - The panel discusses why Purdy will be the most popular QB despite recent poor play.
  • 3 (05:54) **Quarterback: Mahomes & Lamar** - Analysis of the tougher QB matchups in the Ravens-Chiefs game.
  • 4 (13:23) **Quarterback: Jared Goff as a Pivot** - Goff is identified as a low-owned tournament pivot.
  • 5 (17:42) **Running Back: Christian McCaffrey** - CMC is deemed a must-play on DraftKings due to his cheap price and the weak alternatives.
  • 6 (19:41) **Running Back: The RB2 Spot** - The panel debates Jahmyr Gibbs, Isiah Pacheco, and the Ravens' backfield.
  • 7 (32:40) **Wide Receiver: 49ers & Lions** - Deebo Samuel is healthy, making the expensive 49ers receivers hard to fit but very appealing.

+ Full timestamped outline available in the app

Guests on this episode

Show Notes

 

 

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Evan Silva, Adam Levitan, and Andrew Wiggins go position-by-position through the main slate for the Conference Championships. They touch on every viable DFS play for both cash games and tournaments.

Establish The Run - NFL Premium