Dear AI Companies: Stop the “Doom Trolling” | AI Reality Check
June 25, 2026
AI Summary
5 min readIn March 2023, just a few months after ChatGPT launched, Yuval Harari, Tristan Harris, and Aza Raskin published a New York Times op-ed warning that AI had “seized the master key to civilization.” They predicted that by 2028, the U.S. presidential race might no longer be run by humans. Their conclusion: “We have summoned an alien intelligence.” Cal Newport, a computer scientist and technology commentator, remembers reading that and thinking it was wildly out of proportion with how large language models actually work. He wrote a New Yorker piece pushing back, but it was too late. The AI companies themselves had already embraced the strategy of terrifying their own customers.
The strategy of “doom trolling”
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What you'll learn
- 1 (00:00) **Cal’s Initial Excitement & the Turn to Dread** - Cal describes his initial enthusiasm for ChatGPT’s capabilities, comparing it to the iPhone’s pinch-to-zoom, and his frustration when the discourse immediately shifted to fear and hype.
- 2 (00:45) **The Early Doom Narrative & Cal’s Response** - Cal recalls the alarming New York Times op-ed by Harari, Harris, and Raskin (calling AI an “alien intelligence”), his own New Yorker piece pushing back, and his attempts to explain AI to senators.
- 3 (02:07) **The Pivot: AI Companies Embrace Doom Trolling** - Cal argues the real problem began when AI companies themselves started scaring their customers, citing Sam Altman’s “risk of extinction” letter and Dario Amodei’s 25% chance of “really, really badly” outcomes.
- 4 (02:46) **Specific Doom Predictions from CEOs** - Cal details Amodei’s claim that 50% of entry-level white-collar jobs will be automated in 1-5 years, and Altman’s funding of UBI experiments based on fears of economic collapse.
- 5 (03:26) **The Anthropic “Mythos” Case Study** - Cal recounts Anthropic’s report claiming their new model was too dangerous to release, the resulting “terrifying” media coverage, and how they quietly released it six weeks later, suggesting it was a publicity stunt.
- 6 (04:14) **The Latest Anthropic Report & The “China” Excuse** - Cal describes Anthropic’s report on AI recursively improving itself, complete with scary animations, and their conclusion that there’s nothing they can do about it because of China.
- 7 (04:52) **The Human Cost of Doom Trolling** - Cal reads a heartbreaking email from a software developer whose mental health has been ruined by constant predictions of replacement, comparing the anxiety to the COVID-19 pandemic.
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Guests on this episode
Show Notes
Cal Newport takes a critical look at recent AI News.
Video from today’s episode: youtube.com/calnewportmedia
(0:00) Stop the “doom trolling”
(6:53) Cal’s recent New York Times article
(9:00) Cal’s argument
(10:16) The 2nd option
(12:54) Conclusion
(15:58) Stop playing along with Doom Trolling game
(20:09) Use the term “doom trolling”
Links:
Buy Cal’s latest book, “Slow Productivity” at www.calnewport.com/slow
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/06/17/opinion/ai-dangerous-openai-anthropic.html
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/24/opinion/yuval-harari-ai-chatgpt.html
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/07/opinion/anthropic-ai-claude-mythos.html
https://www.anthropic.com/institute/recursive-self-improvement
https://x.com/sapinker/status/2067231673268273547
https://x.com/edzitron/status/2067308832053936276
Thanks to Jesse Miller for production and mastering and Nate Mechler for research and newsletter.
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