Scott Trench’s $1,000,000 Bet on Real Estate (Update)

January 21, 2026

AI Summary

5 min read

🎙️ The Voices & The Context

The Format: Casual interview-style podcast episode with host-led questions and guest updates, market analysis, and forward-looking predictions.
The Key Players:
- Guest: Scott Trench – Former BiggerPockets CEO, author of Set for Life, now financially independent at 35, hosts BiggerPockets Money podcast; famous for bold market calls and achieving financial freedom through real estate.
- Host: Dave Meyer – Current BiggerPockets host, real estate investor; great chemistry with Scott, blending accountability, shared skepticism, and optimistic banter on investing.
The Vibe: Educational yet relaxed and honest – optimistic on real estate cash flow, cautious on stocks, with self-deprecating humor about prediction fails.

🗝️ Key Themes & Topics

The episode recaps Scott's bold 2025 moves, reviews market performance, and peers into 2026 with a focus on stocks vs. real estate, portfolio strategy, and muted growth ahead. Emphasis on risk management over maximization.

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What you'll learn

1 (00:00) **🎙️ Introduction: Scott Trench**
2 (01:34) **Scott's Life Update Post-CEO**
3 (04:10) **Review of 2025 Predictions and Moves**
4 (09:12) **2026 Stock Market Outlook**
5 (16:00) **Portfolio Allocation Strategy**
6 (19:13) **2026 Real Estate Market Outlook**
7 (23:38) **The "Great Stall" and Pricing Challenges**

+ Full timestamped outline available in the app

Show Notes

Last year, Scott Trench, former BiggerPockets CEO, made a big bet on real estate—selling $1,000,000 in stocks to buy rentals instead. A year later, he’s on the show, and we’ve got one crucial question to ask him.

Was it worth it?

The man behind the mustache (yes, he’s still got it!) is joining us today to give a life update and share how his huge financial decision played out. But a lot has changed in the past year, markets aside. Scott stepped down as BiggerPockets CEO and is now fully dedicated to BiggerPockets Money, helping as many people as possible find their own version of financial freedom.

We’ll go over his $1,000,000 stock sell-off, how his investments have been performing since then, his 2026 outlook, and why he believes many investors will be proven wrong about the housing market and real estate investments. Scott believes the next three years will be an “absorption” phase for real estate, but what does that mean for your property values, rent prices, and cash flow?

And don’t worry, Scott also shares what he’s been doing since stepping away from 100-hour weeks as BiggerPockets CEO.

In This Episode We Cover

Was selling worth it? The results of Scott’s $1,000,000 bet on rentals

Scott’s growing fear about the stock market and AI-led price rallies

Scott’s investment portfolio in 2026 and why he still has so much of his net worth in the stock market

The “absorption” phase begins, and Scott’s 2026 rent price growth prediction

Stocks vs. real estate: Are either truly safe in an economy like this?

And So Much More!

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