Behind the Bastards
Behind the Bastards

It Could Happen Here Weekly 254

October 17, 2026

AI Summary

5 min read

It Could Happen Here Weekly 254

This compilation episode covers the week of October 7–14, 2026, with segments on midterm polling, student protests in France, breadfruit as a climate resilience crop, the risk of a limited nuclear incident, and a roundup of breaking news including an ICE shooting in New York.

The IRGC's Letter to the American People

The episode opens with Garrison Davis and Robert Evans discussing a 26-page letter the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps addressed to the American people. The letter argues that Iran won its war with the US, redefines "Death to America" as aimed at the ruling elite rather than the American people, and urges Americans to vote harder. "God will come to the aid of the American people if they decide to change course," the letter states, praising the "No Kings rallies" as evidence of a "national awakening." Evans notes the irony of the IRGC advocating electoral politics in a system that does not exist in Iran.

Midterm Polling Landscape

With the 2026 midterms weeks away, the episode surveys the electoral map. Republicans hold a 218–214 House majority, with Cook Political Report forecasting Democrats will pick up 5–15 seats. Redistricting in multiple states will net Republicans only 2–5 seats at most, a gain likely undone by 2028.

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What you'll learn

  • 1 It Could Happen Here Weekly 254 — Navigation Outline
  • 2 Main Outline
  • 3 (03:07) **IRGC Letter to the American People** - Garrison and Robert introduce a 26-page letter from Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps addressed to Americans
  • 4 (09:01) **Midterm Election Overview & House Outlook** - The hosts break down the current congressional makeup and projected Democratic gains
  • 5 (12:13) **Senate Map: Maine's Toss-Up Race** - Troy Jackson challenges Susan Collins in a race Democrats need to flip for Senate control
  • 6 (17:53) **North Carolina: A Likely Democratic Flip** - Roy Cooper leads Michael Whatley by 5-13 points in the race for Tom Tillis's Senate seat
  • 7 (20:04) **Alaska: Surprise Competitive Race** - Mary Peltola leads Dan Sullivan by 7 points in a state that hasn't had a Democratic senator in nearly 20 years

+ Full timestamped outline available in the app

Guests on this episode

Show Notes

All of this week's episodes of It Could Happen Here put together in one large file:

  • 2026 Midterms Polling Update 
  • The French Student Uprising
  • Breadfruit!
  • Fear of a Nuclear January 6th
  • Executive Disorder: ICE Shooting in NYC, Russian Diesel and Ukraine, Protests Around the World

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Sources/Links:

2026 Midterms Polling Update